[en] Towards an ice-free Arctic Ocean ?

Type de document

Auteur(s)

Instance

HALSHS

Est une partie de

Meeting

Arctique. Enjeux et équations géopolitiques au 21ème siècle - Arctic. Geopolitical Issues and Equations in 21st the Century - 2010-11-22 / 2010-11-23 - Lyon - France

Mots clés en

Humanities and Social Sciences/Political science
Arctic

Date de publication

Langue du document

Anglais

Résumé

[en] The analysis of composite historical records and, more recently, of 30-years long in-situ as well as remote sensing data records revealed strong and significant (compared to natural variability) changes in the Arctic sea ice cover : shrinking of the ice extent and particularly of the perennial cover, thinning, negative mass balance and accelerated drift and deformation. These changes can hardly be explained by the known natural variabilities, i.e. are most likely the consequence of anthropogenic forcing, amplified by positive feedbacks involving the albedo of the arctic ocean. Projections suggest a shift from a perennial to a seasonal state, i.e. an almost ice-free Arctic, in summer before the end of the 21st century. Consequences will be at various levels, including an amplification of climate warming in the Arctic and possibly beyond, impacts on ecosystems and indigenous populations, or economical impacts through the opening of shipping routes or oil exploitation, and therefore on geopolitical issues.

Collection

Source

HAL

Type de ressource

Notice

Licence

Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

Citation bibliographique

Jerome Weiss. Towards an ice-free Arctic Ocean ?. Arctique. Enjeux et équations géopolitiques au 21ème siècle - Arctic. Geopolitical Issues and Equations in 21st the Century, Nov 2010, Lyon, France. [halshs-00534804]

Citer cette ressource

[en] Towards an ice-free Arctic Ocean ?, dans Études nordiques, consulté le 5 Juillet 2025, https://etudes-nordiques.cnrs.fr/s/numenord/item/17427